This year for Ras Al Khaimah Challenge Tour Grand Final the Al Hamra course is being used. It has previously hosted full field Challenge Tour events preceding the finals in Oman in 2016 and 2017, but with Oman now a main tour stop, this year’s finals are switched to the UAE.
Download Excel Odds Sheet: GolfOdds.Info – Ras Al Khaimah Challenge Tour Grand Final 2018
I’ve not done any write-ups for the Challenge Tour since the Rolex Trophy back in August. The main reason is that the full field events are only paying out on the first 5 players, and if you find big value outsiders, you want as many places as possible. The second reason is more to do with my restrictions with certain bookmakers; i.e. I just cannot get a bet on with some of the firms that price up The Challenge Tour events.
As an example, this week on OddsChecker there are currently 15 firms who are laying the field. I’ll discount Royal Panda and SportingBet who are win only; of the remaining 13, I’m barred from one and severely restricted by 5 others. That leaves me personally with only 7 firms, so it’s hardly worth my time looking at this tour.
However, this week I thought I would quickly run my model as there’s only 45 players, and there may be a small bit of value out there. It’s the top 15 in the rankings at the end of this event who get full playing rights to the main tour, so there’s a lot on the line.
My prices are pretty much in line with what’s available. Sean Crocker is the favourite after an amazing 4 tournament stretch with finishes of 3/3/17/3, moving him to #14 on the money list. I make him about an 8 or 9/1 chance, same as what’s on offer.
For the same 4 events that Crocker has played, Frenchman Victor Perez has finished 14/4/7/1. Unlike Crocker, Perez has secured his card for next season, and he offers a touch of value at 16/1 to finish off the season with back to back victories.
Oliver Wilson was heading to oblivion until a win at the Swedish Challenge in August started a run of form that included another win in Ireland earlier this month. He now sits 18th on the rankings, just under €4,000 from 15th spot. With 12th place this week paying €12,500, a top-10 finish by Wilson should see him secure his card. I make the Englishman about a 20/1 chance, so will take Skybet’s offer of 35/1.
Robert MacIntyre missed the start of the season through illness, with his first tournament this year not until mid-April. He’s made up for lost time, with two second place finishes, including the last Challenge Tour event in China, moving him to #13 in the rankings. Definite value for the left handed Scotsman at 50/1.
Victor Perez – 1pt win @ 17.00 (Unibet, 888Sport)
Oliver Wilson – 0.5pt ew @ 36.00 (1/4 1st 4 Skybet)
Robert MacIntyre – 0.25pt ew 51.00 (1/4 1st 4 SpreadEx)